Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.361325 1.545165 1.745825 1.981292 2.250283 2.548276 2.903832
2026-01-18 1.069769 1.317048 1.610616 1.985674 2.453359 3.018944 3.757291
2026-01-25 0.891965 1.161002 1.499385 1.957900 2.565631 3.347180 4.434426
2026-02-01 0.761143 1.036109 1.398438 1.913403 2.630766 3.600948 5.023195
2026-02-08 0.662774 0.937489 1.314247 1.872212 2.683675 3.830217 5.589704
2026-02-15 0.601798 0.881105 1.278199 1.888575 2.811628 4.168873 6.340757
2026-02-22 0.544989 0.823094 1.231524 1.880828 2.898215 4.449494 7.028802
2026-03-01 0.492942 0.765896 1.178837 1.855916 2.952032 4.680330 7.657777
2026-03-08 0.438781 0.699558 1.104891 1.788534 2.928889 4.783189 8.083982
2026-03-15 0.404710 0.661426 1.070965 1.780780 2.999553 5.041459 8.793806
2026-03-22 0.392080 0.656679 1.089807 1.861092 3.224108 5.576774 10.040246
2026-03-29 0.366254 0.627266 1.064678 1.863094 3.311800 5.881804 10.902998
2026-04-05 0.346978 0.610187 1.063753 1.916399 3.513028 6.439822 12.363437
2026-04-12 0.320840 0.579049 1.036352 1.921318 3.630840 6.867963 13.653451
2026-04-19 0.293361 0.542394 0.994843 1.894476 3.683744 7.176794 14.744856
2026-04-26 0.267014 0.505018 0.947949 1.851489 3.698818 7.411131 15.711473
2026-05-03 0.244076 0.471751 0.905309 1.811695 3.714638 7.646817 16.710266
2026-05-10 0.229978 0.454235 0.891213 1.827503 3.846325 8.136787 18.334765
2026-05-17 0.214722 0.432868 0.867274 1.820018 3.926997 8.526199 19.783757
2026-05-24 0.199270 0.409592 0.837155 1.795950 3.968170 8.832659 21.079712
2026-05-31 0.181437 0.379687 0.790484 1.730848 3.909683 8.906613 21.822345
2026-06-07 0.170425 0.363252 0.770708 1.723356 3.982231 9.291528 23.392841
2026-06-14 0.167418 0.363849 0.787627 1.800950 4.263526 10.205310 26.452395